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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Wall Street Ends Tumultuous Week on a High Note

 

Wall Street wrapped up a volatile week with a positive finish, as major U.S. stock indexes rebounded on Friday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 1.6%, the S&P 500 rose 1.8%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite gained 2.1%. 

This recovery followed a week of dramatic swings, largely driven by escalating trade tensions between the United States and China. President Trump's tariff policies created uncertainty in the markets, with reciprocal tariffs reaching as high as 145% on Chinese imports. Despite the turbulence, optimism emerged after the White House hinted at potential progress in trade negotiations.

Investors remain cautious, as the broader market is still down year-to-date. However, Friday's gains provided a much-needed boost to close out a rollercoaster week on a hopeful note.

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