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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Wall Street Ends Tumultuous Week on a High Note

 

Wall Street wrapped up a volatile week with a positive finish, as major U.S. stock indexes rebounded on Friday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 1.6%, the S&P 500 rose 1.8%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite gained 2.1%. 

This recovery followed a week of dramatic swings, largely driven by escalating trade tensions between the United States and China. President Trump's tariff policies created uncertainty in the markets, with reciprocal tariffs reaching as high as 145% on Chinese imports. Despite the turbulence, optimism emerged after the White House hinted at potential progress in trade negotiations.

Investors remain cautious, as the broader market is still down year-to-date. However, Friday's gains provided a much-needed boost to close out a rollercoaster week on a hopeful note.

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