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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Wall Street Ends Tumultuous Week on a High Note

 

Wall Street wrapped up a volatile week with a positive finish, as major U.S. stock indexes rebounded on Friday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 1.6%, the S&P 500 rose 1.8%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite gained 2.1%. 

This recovery followed a week of dramatic swings, largely driven by escalating trade tensions between the United States and China. President Trump's tariff policies created uncertainty in the markets, with reciprocal tariffs reaching as high as 145% on Chinese imports. Despite the turbulence, optimism emerged after the White House hinted at potential progress in trade negotiations.

Investors remain cautious, as the broader market is still down year-to-date. However, Friday's gains provided a much-needed boost to close out a rollercoaster week on a hopeful note.

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