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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Wall Street Ends Tumultuous Week on a High Note

 

Wall Street wrapped up a volatile week with a positive finish, as major U.S. stock indexes rebounded on Friday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 1.6%, the S&P 500 rose 1.8%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite gained 2.1%. 

This recovery followed a week of dramatic swings, largely driven by escalating trade tensions between the United States and China. President Trump's tariff policies created uncertainty in the markets, with reciprocal tariffs reaching as high as 145% on Chinese imports. Despite the turbulence, optimism emerged after the White House hinted at potential progress in trade negotiations.

Investors remain cautious, as the broader market is still down year-to-date. However, Friday's gains provided a much-needed boost to close out a rollercoaster week on a hopeful note.

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