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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...

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Wall Street Ends Tumultuous Week on a High Note

 

Wall Street wrapped up a volatile week with a positive finish, as major U.S. stock indexes rebounded on Friday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 1.6%, the S&P 500 rose 1.8%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite gained 2.1%. 

This recovery followed a week of dramatic swings, largely driven by escalating trade tensions between the United States and China. President Trump's tariff policies created uncertainty in the markets, with reciprocal tariffs reaching as high as 145% on Chinese imports. Despite the turbulence, optimism emerged after the White House hinted at potential progress in trade negotiations.

Investors remain cautious, as the broader market is still down year-to-date. However, Friday's gains provided a much-needed boost to close out a rollercoaster week on a hopeful note.

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