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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Wall Street's Balancing Act: Tariff Talks and Market Movements

U.S. stock futures dipped slightly today as investors assessed the implications of easing tariff tensions between the United States and China. This comes after President Trump hinted at scaling back the hefty tariffs on Chinese imports, which have been a major point of contention in global trade relations.

While optimism surrounding trade negotiations has buoyed the market in recent sessions, mixed signals from both nations have left investors cautious. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell by 0.4%, while Nasdaq and S&P 500 futures also showed minor declines. Tech stocks, which had rallied earlier in the week, are now facing a more subdued outlook as the market awaits further clarity on trade policies.

In addition to trade developments, corporate earnings reports are adding another layer of complexity to market dynamics. Companies like Alphabet and Intel have reported contrasting results, influencing sector-specific movements.

As Wall Street navigates these uncertainties, the focus remains on how easing tariff tensions and corporate performance will shape the broader economic landscape. 


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