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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Wall Street's Balancing Act: Tariff Talks and Market Movements

U.S. stock futures dipped slightly today as investors assessed the implications of easing tariff tensions between the United States and China. This comes after President Trump hinted at scaling back the hefty tariffs on Chinese imports, which have been a major point of contention in global trade relations.

While optimism surrounding trade negotiations has buoyed the market in recent sessions, mixed signals from both nations have left investors cautious. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell by 0.4%, while Nasdaq and S&P 500 futures also showed minor declines. Tech stocks, which had rallied earlier in the week, are now facing a more subdued outlook as the market awaits further clarity on trade policies.

In addition to trade developments, corporate earnings reports are adding another layer of complexity to market dynamics. Companies like Alphabet and Intel have reported contrasting results, influencing sector-specific movements.

As Wall Street navigates these uncertainties, the focus remains on how easing tariff tensions and corporate performance will shape the broader economic landscape. 


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