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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Wall Street's Balancing Act: Tariff Talks and Market Movements

U.S. stock futures dipped slightly today as investors assessed the implications of easing tariff tensions between the United States and China. This comes after President Trump hinted at scaling back the hefty tariffs on Chinese imports, which have been a major point of contention in global trade relations.

While optimism surrounding trade negotiations has buoyed the market in recent sessions, mixed signals from both nations have left investors cautious. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell by 0.4%, while Nasdaq and S&P 500 futures also showed minor declines. Tech stocks, which had rallied earlier in the week, are now facing a more subdued outlook as the market awaits further clarity on trade policies.

In addition to trade developments, corporate earnings reports are adding another layer of complexity to market dynamics. Companies like Alphabet and Intel have reported contrasting results, influencing sector-specific movements.

As Wall Street navigates these uncertainties, the focus remains on how easing tariff tensions and corporate performance will shape the broader economic landscape. 


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