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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Australia Decides: Voters Head to the Polls in Pivotal Election

Australians are casting their votes today in a national election that could shape the country’s future for years to come. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese’s Labor Party is facing off against the conservative opposition led by Peter Dutton, with key issues such as cost-of-living pressures, affordable housing, and energy policy dominating the campaign.

Polling stations opened early across the country, with voters lining up to make their voices heard. Both major parties have focused on economic concerns, but global uncertainty—particularly the influence of U.S. President Donald Trump’s policies—has played a significant role in shaping voter sentiment.

Albanese, seeking a second term, has emphasized his government’s achievements, including rising wages and declining inflation. Meanwhile, Dutton has promised to cut government spending and reduce immigration, positioning himself as a strong alternative to Labor’s leadership.

With opinion polls showing a tight race, the outcome remains uncertain. As ballots are counted, Australians await the results that will determine the nation’s direction in the coming years.

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