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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Australia Decides: Voters Head to the Polls in Pivotal Election

Australians are casting their votes today in a national election that could shape the country’s future for years to come. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese’s Labor Party is facing off against the conservative opposition led by Peter Dutton, with key issues such as cost-of-living pressures, affordable housing, and energy policy dominating the campaign.

Polling stations opened early across the country, with voters lining up to make their voices heard. Both major parties have focused on economic concerns, but global uncertainty—particularly the influence of U.S. President Donald Trump’s policies—has played a significant role in shaping voter sentiment.

Albanese, seeking a second term, has emphasized his government’s achievements, including rising wages and declining inflation. Meanwhile, Dutton has promised to cut government spending and reduce immigration, positioning himself as a strong alternative to Labor’s leadership.

With opinion polls showing a tight race, the outcome remains uncertain. As ballots are counted, Australians await the results that will determine the nation’s direction in the coming years.

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