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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Australia Decides: Voters Head to the Polls in Pivotal Election

Australians are casting their votes today in a national election that could shape the country’s future for years to come. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese’s Labor Party is facing off against the conservative opposition led by Peter Dutton, with key issues such as cost-of-living pressures, affordable housing, and energy policy dominating the campaign.

Polling stations opened early across the country, with voters lining up to make their voices heard. Both major parties have focused on economic concerns, but global uncertainty—particularly the influence of U.S. President Donald Trump’s policies—has played a significant role in shaping voter sentiment.

Albanese, seeking a second term, has emphasized his government’s achievements, including rising wages and declining inflation. Meanwhile, Dutton has promised to cut government spending and reduce immigration, positioning himself as a strong alternative to Labor’s leadership.

With opinion polls showing a tight race, the outcome remains uncertain. As ballots are counted, Australians await the results that will determine the nation’s direction in the coming years.

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