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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Canada’s Alert Ready System Set for Annual Test Today



Canada’s emergency public alerting system, Alert Ready, is undergoing its annual test today across most provinces and territories. The test will be broadcast on TV, radio, and compatible wireless devices, ensuring that the system functions properly and raises public awareness.

Each province and territory has a designated test time, ranging from morning to afternoon, except Quebec, which is not participating in this round of testing. The test will simulate an emergency alert, complete with the distinctive alert tone, but requires no action from the public.

The Canadian Radio-Television and Telecommunications Commission (CRTC) mandates at least one test per year, typically conducted during Emergency Preparedness Week, which runs from May 4–10 this year. The goal is to ensure Canadians are familiar with the system and prepared for real emergencies, such as tornadoes, floods, fires, and AMBER alerts.

While most Canadians will receive the test alert, some may not due to device compatibility, network connection, or cell tower coverage. Given the importance of emergency warnings, Canadians cannot opt out of receiving these alerts.

This annual test serves as a crucial reminder of the importance of emergency preparedness. Canadians are encouraged to review their emergency plans and kits to ensure they are ready for unexpected situations.


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