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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Canada’s Alert Ready System Set for Annual Test Today



Canada’s emergency public alerting system, Alert Ready, is undergoing its annual test today across most provinces and territories. The test will be broadcast on TV, radio, and compatible wireless devices, ensuring that the system functions properly and raises public awareness.

Each province and territory has a designated test time, ranging from morning to afternoon, except Quebec, which is not participating in this round of testing. The test will simulate an emergency alert, complete with the distinctive alert tone, but requires no action from the public.

The Canadian Radio-Television and Telecommunications Commission (CRTC) mandates at least one test per year, typically conducted during Emergency Preparedness Week, which runs from May 4–10 this year. The goal is to ensure Canadians are familiar with the system and prepared for real emergencies, such as tornadoes, floods, fires, and AMBER alerts.

While most Canadians will receive the test alert, some may not due to device compatibility, network connection, or cell tower coverage. Given the importance of emergency warnings, Canadians cannot opt out of receiving these alerts.

This annual test serves as a crucial reminder of the importance of emergency preparedness. Canadians are encouraged to review their emergency plans and kits to ensure they are ready for unexpected situations.


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