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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Carney Calls for National Unity, Outlines Trade Strategy Amid Trump’s Influence

Former Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney has urged Canadians to come together in a time of economic uncertainty, emphasizing national unity as the country navigates complex trade relationships and global economic shifts.  

In a speech addressing business leaders and policymakers, Carney outlined key steps to strengthen Canada’s trade position, particularly in light of evolving U.S. policies under former President Donald Trump’s influence. Carney has stressed the need for unifying the country and diversifying its trading partners to pivot away from relying on the United States and reducing the impact of Trump’s tariff policies.  

While expressing optimism about Canada’s ability to adapt, Carney emphasized the importance of collaboration among industries, provinces, and political leaders to secure economic resilience. His government has pledged to improve trade between provinces and craft more "Made in Canada" supply chains to reduce reliance on foreign markets.  

With ongoing discussions about trade agreements and geopolitical tensions, Carney’s message resonated as a call to prioritize stability and shared prosperity. His remarks reinforced the idea that Canada's economic future depends on a unified approach to global commerce and domestic policy adaptation.  

Carney is expected to visit Washington next week to meet with Trump on trade and security issues, aiming to negotiate terms that will protect Canadian industries from further economic disruptions.  


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