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Bank of Canada Rate Decision Countdown: What to Expect on July 15

  Published July 4, 2026 In eleven days, the Bank of Canada will make its fifth interest rate call of 2026. If you've got a mortgage renewing, a variable rate that moves with the Bank's decisions, or savings sitting in a high-interest account, this is the date to have circled. Here's where things stand heading into July 15, and what the smart money is expecting. Where the rate sits right now The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since its last two decisions, with the Bank Rate at 2.50% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The July 15 announcement, released at 9:45 a.m. ET, will also come with a full Monetary Policy Report, since the Bank publishes its detailed economic projections quarterly alongside the January, April, July, and October decisions. Why most economists expect another hold The case for standing pat comes down to two forces pulling in opposite directions: Inflation is running hot, but mostly for one reason. Canada's headline inflation rate jumped...
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Carney Sets the Course: PM Outlines Government Priorities in First Post-Election Address

 

Prime Minister Mark Carney is set to unveil his government's priorities in a highly anticipated news conference today, marking his first public address since securing a fourth mandate for the Liberal Party. 

Carney, who has remained largely behind closed doors since election night, is expected to focus on key domestic and international issues, including trade relations with the United States. His office confirmed that he spoke with U.S. President Donald Trump earlier this week, with discussions centered on easing ongoing trade tensions. While Trump has indicated a meeting in Washington could happen within days, Carney's team has yet to confirm the timeline. 

Beyond trade, Carney has spent the past few days engaging with global leaders, including King Charles, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, and European Council President Antonio Costa. His diplomatic outreach signals a broader effort to reposition Canada on the world stage, particularly in light of shifting geopolitical dynamics. 

Domestically, Carney faces the challenge of governing with a minority government, as the Liberals secured 168 seats—one fewer than initially reported—following a validation process by Elections Canada. The Conservatives hold 144 seats, while the Bloc Québécois, NDP, and Green Party make up the remainder of the House. 

As Carney steps into the spotlight today, Canadians will be watching closely to see how he plans to navigate the political landscape and deliver on his campaign promises. His remarks are scheduled for 11 a.m. EDT, where he will take questions from the media. 



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