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5 Things to Know Today: Canada Enters Recession, Oil Slips on Iran Ceasefire Talk

Saturday, May 30, 2026 — Your quick-hit Canadian financial briefing for the day. 1.Canada Officially Meets the Definition of a Technical Recession Statistics Canada confirmed Friday that real GDP contracted 0.1% on an annualized basis in Q1 2026 — following a revised 1.0% drop in Q4 2025 . That's two straight quarters of negative growth, which meets the technical definition of a recession. The miss was a big one: economists had forecast growth of 1.5% . The main culprits were a surge in imports (up 2.9%, largely gold), declining business capital investment (down 0.7% — its fifth consecutive quarterly drop ), and weakness in resource extraction and construction. On a per-capita basis, GDP actually edged up 0.2% as Canada's population shrank for the second quarter in a row. Not everyone is ready to call it a full recession: some economists note that three of the four weak months were isolated, and early April data points to a sharp 0.4% rebound . Still, the numbers ...
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Carney Sets the Course: PM Outlines Government Priorities in First Post-Election Address

 

Prime Minister Mark Carney is set to unveil his government's priorities in a highly anticipated news conference today, marking his first public address since securing a fourth mandate for the Liberal Party. 

Carney, who has remained largely behind closed doors since election night, is expected to focus on key domestic and international issues, including trade relations with the United States. His office confirmed that he spoke with U.S. President Donald Trump earlier this week, with discussions centered on easing ongoing trade tensions. While Trump has indicated a meeting in Washington could happen within days, Carney's team has yet to confirm the timeline. 

Beyond trade, Carney has spent the past few days engaging with global leaders, including King Charles, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, and European Council President Antonio Costa. His diplomatic outreach signals a broader effort to reposition Canada on the world stage, particularly in light of shifting geopolitical dynamics. 

Domestically, Carney faces the challenge of governing with a minority government, as the Liberals secured 168 seats—one fewer than initially reported—following a validation process by Elections Canada. The Conservatives hold 144 seats, while the Bloc Québécois, NDP, and Green Party make up the remainder of the House. 

As Carney steps into the spotlight today, Canadians will be watching closely to see how he plans to navigate the political landscape and deliver on his campaign promises. His remarks are scheduled for 11 a.m. EDT, where he will take questions from the media. 



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