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Macklem Just Raised the Inflation Alarm: What Monday’s CPI Means for Your Wallet

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Sunday, October 18, 2026  |  Written ahead of Monday’s 8:30 am ET inflation release Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem has just told Canadians what the central bank is about to say on October 28: its inflation forecast is going up, and by a lot. The reason is oil. With the Middle East conflict dragging on, shipments still curtailed and refinery capacity damaged, he said the risk that inflation broadens and lingers has gone up. Speaking to reporters from Bangkok on Saturday, he framed the coming decision as a simple question: will inflation drift back toward 2% on its own, or does the Bank need to raise rates to nudge it there? Monday is the first real clue. Here is what is landing, what economists expect, and what it could mean for your gas bill, your grocery cart, your heating costs and your mortgage. 3.0% August CPI, year over year 3.2% September consensus (Reuters poll) 2.25% BoC policy rate, unchanged for nearly a year Oct 28 Rat...

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Carney Sets the Course: PM Outlines Government Priorities in First Post-Election Address

 

Prime Minister Mark Carney is set to unveil his government's priorities in a highly anticipated news conference today, marking his first public address since securing a fourth mandate for the Liberal Party. 

Carney, who has remained largely behind closed doors since election night, is expected to focus on key domestic and international issues, including trade relations with the United States. His office confirmed that he spoke with U.S. President Donald Trump earlier this week, with discussions centered on easing ongoing trade tensions. While Trump has indicated a meeting in Washington could happen within days, Carney's team has yet to confirm the timeline. 

Beyond trade, Carney has spent the past few days engaging with global leaders, including King Charles, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, and European Council President Antonio Costa. His diplomatic outreach signals a broader effort to reposition Canada on the world stage, particularly in light of shifting geopolitical dynamics. 

Domestically, Carney faces the challenge of governing with a minority government, as the Liberals secured 168 seats—one fewer than initially reported—following a validation process by Elections Canada. The Conservatives hold 144 seats, while the Bloc Québécois, NDP, and Green Party make up the remainder of the House. 

As Carney steps into the spotlight today, Canadians will be watching closely to see how he plans to navigate the political landscape and deliver on his campaign promises. His remarks are scheduled for 11 a.m. EDT, where he will take questions from the media. 



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