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5 Things to Know Today — June 21, 2026

  Whether you're starting your week or wrapping up your weekend, here are the five Canadian money stories shaping your financial picture right now. 1 Canada Is Technically in a Recession — And the Political Fight Is On Canada's GDP contracted 0.1% on an annualized basis in Q1 2026, following a 1% decline in Q4 2025 — two consecutive quarters of negative growth that meet the textbook definition of a technical recession. Prime Minister Mark Carney has called it a "settling-in period" tied to his government's restructuring of the economy in response to the U.S. trade war. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has been relentless in his counter-offensive, pointing to rising insolvencies, job losses and food bank usage as proof that the downturn is real, not technical. Many economists, including BMO's chief economist Douglas Porter, have noted that a future revision to Statistics Canada's data could erase the slim 0.1% contraction — meaning this may not ultimate...

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Fed Holds Steady on Interest Rates Amid Economic Uncertainty

The Federal Reserve has decided to keep its key interest rate unchanged, signaling concerns over rising inflation and potential increases in unemployment. This marks the third consecutive meeting where the central bank has opted to maintain the rate at 4.3%, despite growing pressure from the White House to lower borrowing costs.

The Fed's decision comes amid heightened uncertainty surrounding the impact of sweeping tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump. Economists warn that these tariffs could simultaneously drive up consumer prices while forcing businesses to cut jobs, creating a challenging economic environment. Historically, the Fed has adjusted rates to either curb inflation or stimulate employment, but the current situation presents a rare dilemma where both risks are rising simultaneously.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the need for patience, stating that the central bank is closely monitoring economic indicators before making any adjustments. While financial markets anticipate potential rate cuts later in the year, the Fed remains cautious, balancing its dual mandate of maintaining price stability and maximizing employment.

As the economy navigates these uncertainties, all eyes will be on the Fed’s next moves and how they will shape the financial landscape in the months ahead.

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