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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...

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GM's Oshawa Plant to Reduce Shifts Amid U.S. Tariff Concerns


General Motors is set to scale back operations at its Oshawa Assembly Plant this fall, moving from a three-shift system to two shifts. The decision, according to Unifor, the union representing workers, is a direct response to U.S. tariffs imposed on Canadian-built vehicles.

Unifor National President Lana Payne criticized the move, calling it "reckless" and warning that it could have widespread consequences for the auto parts supplier network. The union has urged GM to reconsider its decision, arguing that Canadian jobs should not be sacrificed for political favor.

The shift reduction follows the U.S. government's imposition of a 25% tariff on Canadian-made vehicles in March, a policy that has significantly impacted the Canadian auto industry. GM has stated that it plans to recalibrate the Oshawa plant to focus more on Canadian sales rather than exports to the U.S..

With thousands of jobs potentially affected, Unifor is calling on the Canadian government to take swift action to protect domestic auto manufacturing. The union has also demanded that GM uphold its commitments to Canadian workers and production.

The Oshawa plant, which assembles Chevrolet Silverado trucks, was reopened after significant investments from federal and provincial governments. Now, with the looming shift cuts, workers and industry leaders alike are watching closely to see how GM and policymakers respond.

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