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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Israeli Military Intercepts Missile from Yemen Amid Rising Regional Tensions

The Israeli military announced on Saturday that it successfully intercepted a missile launched from Yemen, marking the latest escalation in regional hostilities. The missile, reportedly fired by the Iran-backed Houthi forces, triggered air raid sirens in multiple areas across Israel but caused no casualties or significant damage.

This incident comes as the Houthis continue their campaign of missile and drone attacks against Israel, citing solidarity with Palestinians amid the ongoing conflict in Gaza. The group has vowed to expand its range of targets in response to Israel’s renewed offensive in Gaza, which resumed in mid-March following the breakdown of ceasefire negotiations.

Meanwhile, the United States has intensified its military operations against Houthi positions in Yemen, launching large-scale airstrikes aimed at reducing the group's capabilities. The strikes, ordered by U.S. President Donald Trump in March, represent one of the most significant American military interventions in the Middle East since his administration began.

As tensions continue to rise, analysts warn that the ongoing exchanges of fire could further destabilize the region, with potential implications for international security and trade routes in the Red Sea. The Israeli military remains on high alert, prepared to counter any future threats from Yemen and other hostile actors.

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