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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Israeli Military Intercepts Missile from Yemen Amid Rising Regional Tensions

The Israeli military announced on Saturday that it successfully intercepted a missile launched from Yemen, marking the latest escalation in regional hostilities. The missile, reportedly fired by the Iran-backed Houthi forces, triggered air raid sirens in multiple areas across Israel but caused no casualties or significant damage.

This incident comes as the Houthis continue their campaign of missile and drone attacks against Israel, citing solidarity with Palestinians amid the ongoing conflict in Gaza. The group has vowed to expand its range of targets in response to Israel’s renewed offensive in Gaza, which resumed in mid-March following the breakdown of ceasefire negotiations.

Meanwhile, the United States has intensified its military operations against Houthi positions in Yemen, launching large-scale airstrikes aimed at reducing the group's capabilities. The strikes, ordered by U.S. President Donald Trump in March, represent one of the most significant American military interventions in the Middle East since his administration began.

As tensions continue to rise, analysts warn that the ongoing exchanges of fire could further destabilize the region, with potential implications for international security and trade routes in the Red Sea. The Israeli military remains on high alert, prepared to counter any future threats from Yemen and other hostile actors.

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