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Loonie Slips as Jobless Rate Rises, Fueling Rate Cut Speculation
The Canadian dollar weakened to a three-week low against the U.S. dollar on Friday, as rising unemployment fueled expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Bank of Canada. The loonie traded 0.1% lower at 1.3935 per U.S. dollar, marking a 0.8% decline for the week.
Canada's unemployment rate climbed to 6.9% in April, surpassing economists' expectations of 6.8%, with the economy adding just 7,400 jobs. Analysts suggest that ongoing trade uncertainties are weighing on employment, increasing the likelihood of monetary policy easing in June.
Investor sentiment has shifted, with markets now pricing in a 60% chance of a rate cut at the Bank of Canada's next policy meeting on June 4, up from 46% before the employment report. Meanwhile, Canadian bond yields eased across the curve, reflecting concerns over economic slowdown.
The U.S. dollar, in contrast, strengthened on optimism surrounding upcoming U.S.-China trade talks, while crude oil prices—one of Canada's key exports—rose 1.5% to $60.82 per barrel.
With economic uncertainty looming, all eyes are on the Bank of Canada’s next move. Will policymakers opt for another rate cut to support growth, or will they hold steady amid global market shifts?
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