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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...

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Poilievre Declines Severance After Election Defeat, Signaling Fiscal Responsibility

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has declined the severance package offered to defeated Members of Parliament following his unexpected loss in the Ontario riding of Carleton. Poilievre, who had held the seat for two decades, was defeated by Liberal candidate Bruce Fanjoy in a closely contested race.  

Despite the setback, Poilievre remains committed to his principles of fiscal responsibility, rejecting the severance that MPs typically receive upon losing their seats. His decision aligns with his long-standing stance on government spending and accountability.  

Poilievre’s loss has sparked discussions about his future in the Conservative Party, with some members rallying behind him while others question his leadership moving forward. However, his rejection of severance sends a clear message about his commitment to financial prudence, a key pillar of his political ideology.  

As the political landscape shifts, Poilievre’s next steps will be closely watched, particularly as the Conservative Party navigates its path forward in the wake of the election results.

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