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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds Near 80%, Oil Tops US$100, Loonie Hits 5-Week High

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Saturday, October 24, 2026 The Bank of Canada is expected to raise rates on Wednesday, oil is back above US$100 and stocks slipped on AI worries. Here are the five things to know this Saturday, and what each one means for your wallet. 1 The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hike on Wednesday Markets are putting roughly an 80% chance on a quarter-point increase at the Bank of Canada’s Oct. 28 decision, which would lift the policy rate from 2.25% to 2.50%. A majority of economists polled by Reuters also expect a second hike by the end of March. The shift followed hawkish comments from Governor Tiff Macklem about a higher inflation outlook driven by oil. What it means for you Every 0.25-point increase adds about $250 a year (roughly $21 a month) for each $100,000 of prime-linked debt, such as a variable-rate mortgage or HELOC. Fixed-rate holders are not hit directly, but renewals are being priced off higher bond yields. Savers may see HISA and...
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Poilievre Declines Severance After Election Defeat, Signaling Fiscal Responsibility

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has declined the severance package offered to defeated Members of Parliament following his unexpected loss in the Ontario riding of Carleton. Poilievre, who had held the seat for two decades, was defeated by Liberal candidate Bruce Fanjoy in a closely contested race.  

Despite the setback, Poilievre remains committed to his principles of fiscal responsibility, rejecting the severance that MPs typically receive upon losing their seats. His decision aligns with his long-standing stance on government spending and accountability.  

Poilievre’s loss has sparked discussions about his future in the Conservative Party, with some members rallying behind him while others question his leadership moving forward. However, his rejection of severance sends a clear message about his commitment to financial prudence, a key pillar of his political ideology.  

As the political landscape shifts, Poilievre’s next steps will be closely watched, particularly as the Conservative Party navigates its path forward in the wake of the election results.

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