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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...

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Poilievre Declines Severance After Election Defeat, Signaling Fiscal Responsibility

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has declined the severance package offered to defeated Members of Parliament following his unexpected loss in the Ontario riding of Carleton. Poilievre, who had held the seat for two decades, was defeated by Liberal candidate Bruce Fanjoy in a closely contested race.  

Despite the setback, Poilievre remains committed to his principles of fiscal responsibility, rejecting the severance that MPs typically receive upon losing their seats. His decision aligns with his long-standing stance on government spending and accountability.  

Poilievre’s loss has sparked discussions about his future in the Conservative Party, with some members rallying behind him while others question his leadership moving forward. However, his rejection of severance sends a clear message about his commitment to financial prudence, a key pillar of his political ideology.  

As the political landscape shifts, Poilievre’s next steps will be closely watched, particularly as the Conservative Party navigates its path forward in the wake of the election results.

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