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Markets Slip as Investors Bet on Extended U.S.–Iran Ceasefire

  Stocks Edge Lower as Investors Hope U.S.–Iran Ceasefire Will Hold Stocks drifted lower today as markets balanced cautious optimism over a potential extension of the U.S.–Iran ceasefire with persistent geopolitical and inflation concerns. Recent trading sessions have shown that even modest signs of diplomatic progress can meaningfully shift investor sentiment. Asian and U.S. markets rallied earlier this week on hopes that Washington and Tehran would continue negotiations, helping unwind some of the war-driven risk premiums that had pushed oil and volatility higher. Despite the pullback, investors remain hopeful that the ceasefire—currently set to expire soon—will be extended, giving negotiators more time to work toward a longer-term agreement. Reports indicate both sides are considering adding another two weeks to the pause, a move that has already helped push Brent crude below the recent peak of nearly US$120 per barrel. Lower oil prices have eased pressure on inflation expecta...
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Rising Tensions: Israel's Airstrikes in Southern Lebanon Spark Concerns

In a significant escalation, Israel launched dozens of airstrikes on southern Lebanon, marking one of its most intense bombardments since the ceasefire that ended last year's conflict with Hezbollah. The Israeli military stated that the strikes targeted Hezbollah infrastructure in the region, though the group has previously claimed to have withdrawn its forces in accordance with the U.S.-brokered truce.

Lebanon's Health Ministry reported at least one fatality and eight injuries as a result of the attacks. Thick plumes of smoke were seen rising from the Nabatieh district, approximately 12 kilometers from the border, where the strikes were concentrated. The ceasefire agreement had stipulated that neither Hezbollah nor any other armed group should maintain weapons in areas near the border, yet both Lebanon and Israel have accused each other of failing to fully implement the deal.

The latest strikes come amid ongoing tensions, with Israel continuing to conduct airstrikes in southern Lebanon on a regular basis despite the ceasefire. The Lebanese government has condemned the attacks, warning that they could destabilize the region further. As the situation unfolds, international observers are closely monitoring developments, fearing that renewed hostilities could lead to a broader conflict.



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