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Markets Digest Iran Peace Progress and Fed Rate-Hike Risk — June 22, 2026

  Markets are easing into a cautious start this Monday as investors return from a long weekend — U.S. markets were closed Friday for Juneteenth — and assess a mixed backdrop: tentative optimism over U.S.–Iran peace talks, a newly hawkish Federal Reserve, and a key week of economic data and earnings ahead. Oil is steadying, the Canadian dollar is under modest pressure, and Asian markets rallied while European and U.S. futures drifted slightly lower in early trading. 🍁 Canada — TSX & the Loonie The S&P/TSX Composite Index heads into Monday trading with a cautious tone, sitting near the 34,857 level after slipping 0.32% on Thursday — the last day Canadian markets were open. Energy stocks will be in focus as oil prices stabilize following weeks of volatility tied to the U.S.–Iran conflict and the partial reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The Canadian dollar is trading at approximately 70.52 cents U.S. (CAD/USD: 0.7052), down about 0.22% on the session. The loonie remains und...
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Rising Tensions: Israel's Airstrikes in Southern Lebanon Spark Concerns

In a significant escalation, Israel launched dozens of airstrikes on southern Lebanon, marking one of its most intense bombardments since the ceasefire that ended last year's conflict with Hezbollah. The Israeli military stated that the strikes targeted Hezbollah infrastructure in the region, though the group has previously claimed to have withdrawn its forces in accordance with the U.S.-brokered truce.

Lebanon's Health Ministry reported at least one fatality and eight injuries as a result of the attacks. Thick plumes of smoke were seen rising from the Nabatieh district, approximately 12 kilometers from the border, where the strikes were concentrated. The ceasefire agreement had stipulated that neither Hezbollah nor any other armed group should maintain weapons in areas near the border, yet both Lebanon and Israel have accused each other of failing to fully implement the deal.

The latest strikes come amid ongoing tensions, with Israel continuing to conduct airstrikes in southern Lebanon on a regular basis despite the ceasefire. The Lebanese government has condemned the attacks, warning that they could destabilize the region further. As the situation unfolds, international observers are closely monitoring developments, fearing that renewed hostilities could lead to a broader conflict.



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