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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...

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Rising Tensions: Israel's Airstrikes in Southern Lebanon Spark Concerns

In a significant escalation, Israel launched dozens of airstrikes on southern Lebanon, marking one of its most intense bombardments since the ceasefire that ended last year's conflict with Hezbollah. The Israeli military stated that the strikes targeted Hezbollah infrastructure in the region, though the group has previously claimed to have withdrawn its forces in accordance with the U.S.-brokered truce.

Lebanon's Health Ministry reported at least one fatality and eight injuries as a result of the attacks. Thick plumes of smoke were seen rising from the Nabatieh district, approximately 12 kilometers from the border, where the strikes were concentrated. The ceasefire agreement had stipulated that neither Hezbollah nor any other armed group should maintain weapons in areas near the border, yet both Lebanon and Israel have accused each other of failing to fully implement the deal.

The latest strikes come amid ongoing tensions, with Israel continuing to conduct airstrikes in southern Lebanon on a regular basis despite the ceasefire. The Lebanese government has condemned the attacks, warning that they could destabilize the region further. As the situation unfolds, international observers are closely monitoring developments, fearing that renewed hostilities could lead to a broader conflict.



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