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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Rising Tensions: Israel's Airstrikes in Southern Lebanon Spark Concerns

In a significant escalation, Israel launched dozens of airstrikes on southern Lebanon, marking one of its most intense bombardments since the ceasefire that ended last year's conflict with Hezbollah. The Israeli military stated that the strikes targeted Hezbollah infrastructure in the region, though the group has previously claimed to have withdrawn its forces in accordance with the U.S.-brokered truce.

Lebanon's Health Ministry reported at least one fatality and eight injuries as a result of the attacks. Thick plumes of smoke were seen rising from the Nabatieh district, approximately 12 kilometers from the border, where the strikes were concentrated. The ceasefire agreement had stipulated that neither Hezbollah nor any other armed group should maintain weapons in areas near the border, yet both Lebanon and Israel have accused each other of failing to fully implement the deal.

The latest strikes come amid ongoing tensions, with Israel continuing to conduct airstrikes in southern Lebanon on a regular basis despite the ceasefire. The Lebanese government has condemned the attacks, warning that they could destabilize the region further. As the situation unfolds, international observers are closely monitoring developments, fearing that renewed hostilities could lead to a broader conflict.



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