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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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The Ripple Effect: How Trump's Tariffs Are Reshaping the Global Economy

The global economy is starting to feel the weight of tariffs imposed during Donald Trump's presidency. These trade barriers, aimed at protecting domestic industries, are now causing significant ripple effects across international markets.

The tariffs, initially introduced to boost American manufacturing, have resulted in retaliatory measures from key trading partners. Countries affected by U.S. duties have responded with their own tariffs, leading to disrupted supply chains and increased costs for businesses worldwide. Many industries, from technology to agriculture, are experiencing financial strain as they navigate these new trade hurdles.

For consumers, the impact is also noticeable. Prices on imported goods have risen, forcing households to adjust their spending. Economists warn that prolonged trade tensions could slow global growth, as uncertainty keeps businesses from investing and expanding.

Despite efforts to renegotiate trade deals, the lingering effects of Trump's tariffs remain a challenge. As global markets adapt to these policies, businesses and governments alike must find ways to mitigate their consequences while maintaining economic stability.



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