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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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The Ripple Effect: How Trump's Tariffs Are Reshaping the Global Economy

The global economy is starting to feel the weight of tariffs imposed during Donald Trump's presidency. These trade barriers, aimed at protecting domestic industries, are now causing significant ripple effects across international markets.

The tariffs, initially introduced to boost American manufacturing, have resulted in retaliatory measures from key trading partners. Countries affected by U.S. duties have responded with their own tariffs, leading to disrupted supply chains and increased costs for businesses worldwide. Many industries, from technology to agriculture, are experiencing financial strain as they navigate these new trade hurdles.

For consumers, the impact is also noticeable. Prices on imported goods have risen, forcing households to adjust their spending. Economists warn that prolonged trade tensions could slow global growth, as uncertainty keeps businesses from investing and expanding.

Despite efforts to renegotiate trade deals, the lingering effects of Trump's tariffs remain a challenge. As global markets adapt to these policies, businesses and governments alike must find ways to mitigate their consequences while maintaining economic stability.



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