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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Trump Proposes Tariff Reduction Amid Trade Talks with China


In a surprising move, former U.S. President Donald Trump has suggested reducing tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 80% ahead of a crucial trade meeting between top U.S. and Chinese officials in Switzerland. This proposal marks a potential shift in the ongoing trade war, which has seen escalating tariffs from both nations.

Trump announced his stance on social media, stating that an 80% tariff "seems right" and urging China to open its markets to American goods. The upcoming discussions, led by U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, aim to address concerns over the impact of tariffs on consumer prices and global trade stability.

The trade war, which began during Trump's presidency, has significantly affected both economies, with China retaliating against U.S. tariffs by imposing its own restrictions. While Trump had previously resisted lowering tariffs, his latest remarks suggest a willingness to negotiate if the talks yield positive results.

As global markets react to the possibility of reduced trade tensions, analysts are watching closely to see whether this proposal will lead to a meaningful agreement between the two economic giants. The outcome of the weekend talks could shape the future of U.S.-China trade relations and influence broader economic policies worldwide.

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