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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....
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Trump Proposes Tariff Reduction Amid Trade Talks with China


In a surprising move, former U.S. President Donald Trump has suggested reducing tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 80% ahead of a crucial trade meeting between top U.S. and Chinese officials in Switzerland. This proposal marks a potential shift in the ongoing trade war, which has seen escalating tariffs from both nations.

Trump announced his stance on social media, stating that an 80% tariff "seems right" and urging China to open its markets to American goods. The upcoming discussions, led by U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, aim to address concerns over the impact of tariffs on consumer prices and global trade stability.

The trade war, which began during Trump's presidency, has significantly affected both economies, with China retaliating against U.S. tariffs by imposing its own restrictions. While Trump had previously resisted lowering tariffs, his latest remarks suggest a willingness to negotiate if the talks yield positive results.

As global markets react to the possibility of reduced trade tensions, analysts are watching closely to see whether this proposal will lead to a meaningful agreement between the two economic giants. The outcome of the weekend talks could shape the future of U.S.-China trade relations and influence broader economic policies worldwide.

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