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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Trump Proposes Tariff Reduction Amid Trade Talks with China


In a surprising move, former U.S. President Donald Trump has suggested reducing tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 80% ahead of a crucial trade meeting between top U.S. and Chinese officials in Switzerland. This proposal marks a potential shift in the ongoing trade war, which has seen escalating tariffs from both nations.

Trump announced his stance on social media, stating that an 80% tariff "seems right" and urging China to open its markets to American goods. The upcoming discussions, led by U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, aim to address concerns over the impact of tariffs on consumer prices and global trade stability.

The trade war, which began during Trump's presidency, has significantly affected both economies, with China retaliating against U.S. tariffs by imposing its own restrictions. While Trump had previously resisted lowering tariffs, his latest remarks suggest a willingness to negotiate if the talks yield positive results.

As global markets react to the possibility of reduced trade tensions, analysts are watching closely to see whether this proposal will lead to a meaningful agreement between the two economic giants. The outcome of the weekend talks could shape the future of U.S.-China trade relations and influence broader economic policies worldwide.

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