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Markets Digest Iran Peace Progress and Fed Rate-Hike Risk — June 22, 2026

  Markets are easing into a cautious start this Monday as investors return from a long weekend — U.S. markets were closed Friday for Juneteenth — and assess a mixed backdrop: tentative optimism over U.S.–Iran peace talks, a newly hawkish Federal Reserve, and a key week of economic data and earnings ahead. Oil is steadying, the Canadian dollar is under modest pressure, and Asian markets rallied while European and U.S. futures drifted slightly lower in early trading. 🍁 Canada — TSX & the Loonie The S&P/TSX Composite Index heads into Monday trading with a cautious tone, sitting near the 34,857 level after slipping 0.32% on Thursday — the last day Canadian markets were open. Energy stocks will be in focus as oil prices stabilize following weeks of volatility tied to the U.S.–Iran conflict and the partial reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The Canadian dollar is trading at approximately 70.52 cents U.S. (CAD/USD: 0.7052), down about 0.22% on the session. The loonie remains und...
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Trump Proposes Tariff Reduction Amid Trade Talks with China


In a surprising move, former U.S. President Donald Trump has suggested reducing tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 80% ahead of a crucial trade meeting between top U.S. and Chinese officials in Switzerland. This proposal marks a potential shift in the ongoing trade war, which has seen escalating tariffs from both nations.

Trump announced his stance on social media, stating that an 80% tariff "seems right" and urging China to open its markets to American goods. The upcoming discussions, led by U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, aim to address concerns over the impact of tariffs on consumer prices and global trade stability.

The trade war, which began during Trump's presidency, has significantly affected both economies, with China retaliating against U.S. tariffs by imposing its own restrictions. While Trump had previously resisted lowering tariffs, his latest remarks suggest a willingness to negotiate if the talks yield positive results.

As global markets react to the possibility of reduced trade tensions, analysts are watching closely to see whether this proposal will lead to a meaningful agreement between the two economic giants. The outcome of the weekend talks could shape the future of U.S.-China trade relations and influence broader economic policies worldwide.

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