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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...
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Fast-Food Giants Face Earnings Challenges Amid Middle East Boycotts

 


Fast-food giants are finding themselves in a sticky situation as boycotts in the Middle East take a toll on their earnings. Notable players like McDonald’s, Starbucks, and Yum Brands (the parent company of 

In its fourth-quarter earnings report, McDonald’s reported a rare sales miss. Sales in its international licensed markets and corporate sector, including the Middle East, grew by a mere 0.7%, a stark contrast to the robust 16.5% growth seen the previous year. The culprit? The ongoing war in Gaza. The conflict has impacted several markets in the Middle East, leading to a material hit on McDonald’s earnings. The company’s president and CEO, Chris Kempczinski, acknowledged the challenges faced by markets both within and outside the region due to the war and associated misinformation. A viral photo of a McDonald’s franchise in Israel donating free meals to soldiers fueled calls for a boycott, further affecting sales in Middle Eastern and Muslim-majority markets like Indonesia and Malaysia.

Starbucks, too, is feeling the pinch. The coffee giant is forecasting slower growth for the rest of the year, a projection even lower than what analysts had predicted. The company’s earnings have been impacted by the same geopolitical tensions that have affected other fast-food chains. As anti-war activists around the world call for an end to the conflict, companies perceived to have supported Israel or suppressed pro-Palestinian speech on social media are facing scrutiny. Starbucks finds itself caught in the crossfire, with its financial performance reflecting the strain.

Yum Brands, the parent company of Taco Bell, also reported a hit to fourth-quarter sales. The Middle East boycotts have affected the company’s bottom line, emphasizing the interconnectedness of global events and corporate earnings. As the conflict in Gaza continues, businesses like Yum Brands are navigating the delicate balance between their operations and public sentiment.

Burgers aren’t supposed to be political, but recent events have blurred those lines. Fast-food chains, once seen as neutral spaces for quick meals, are now caught up in geopolitical tensions. As the war in Gaza persists, companies must grapple with the impact of their actions and statements. For McDonald’s, Starbucks, and Yum Brands, the Middle East boycotts serve as a stark reminder that even a Happy Meal can carry unintended consequences.


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