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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...

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What’s New in 2024 Tax Filing: Key Changes and Tips

 

As the tax season kicks off, Canadians are gearing up to file their 2023 income taxes. Whether you’re a seasoned filer or a first-timer, here’s what you need to know for the 2024 tax-filing season:

Important Dates

  • February 19, 2024: The Canada Revenue Agency (CRA) opens its portal for online tax filing. If you prefer paper filing, expect your income tax package in the mail by this date.
  • April 30, 2024: This is the deadline for most Canadians to file their tax return. Filing on time ensures timely processing of refunds, benefits, and credits.
  • June 15, 2024: Self-employed individuals (and their spouses or common-law partners) have until this date to file their returns. If you owe money to the CRA, remember to pay by April 30, 2024, to avoid interest.

What’s New?

  1. Digital Disability Tax Credit (DTC) Application Form:

    • The CRA now offers a fully digital application process for the DTC. Persons with disabilities and their medical practitioners can complete Part A of the application form online in My Account or by phone. No more printing and manual completion!
    • The applicant’s portion of the form is prepopulated with information already on file at the CRA. Once done, applicants receive a reference number for their medical practitioner to complete Part B.
  2. Changes to the T1 Notice of Assessment:

    • The T1 notice of assessment and notice of reassessment now provide clearer and more comprehensive information.
    • If you’re expecting a refund and haven’t signed up for direct deposit, you’ll receive a paper T1 notice of assessment and a separate cheque.

Remember, timely filing ensures you receive the benefit and credit payments you’re entitled to. 


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