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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Beijing’s Meddling: Canada’s Democracy Faces Unprecedented Threats

 

Canada’s former ambassador to China, Guy Saint-Jacques, has issued a stark warning: Beijing’s interference in Canada’s democracy is more severe than ever. A recent report from the National Security and Intelligence Committee of Parliamentarians (NSICOP) alleges that sitting federal politicians are “witting” participants in foreign interference schemes. Despite these bombshell allegations, the government has yet to reveal their identities, citing intelligence concerns. Saint-Jacques emphasizes the need for a tougher approach, suggesting that evidence-based punishment should be applied where possible. Additionally, the proposed Bill C-70 aims to address foreign interference, but its implementation timeline remains uncertain. As Canada grapples with these challenges, safeguarding democratic processes becomes paramount.


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