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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....
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Ontario PCs Secure Third Majority Government Amid Economic Uncertainty

 

In a historic victory, Doug Ford's Progressive Conservatives have clinched their third consecutive majority government in Ontario. This marks the first time in over 50 years that a party has achieved such a feat in the province. Ford's campaign focused heavily on addressing economic uncertainties, particularly those stemming from the United States. Despite falling short of the increased majority he sought, the PCs' win underscores their continued dominance in Ontario politics.

The opposition parties, including the NDP and Liberals, faced significant challenges throughout the campaign. The NDP is set to form the official Opposition, while the Liberals are poised to regain official party status with at least 12 seats. Ford's victory speech emphasized his commitment to protecting Ontario from external economic threats and continuing his administration's policies.

This election result solidifies Doug Ford's position as one of Ontario's most successful premiers, joining the ranks of leaders like Bill Davis and Leslie Frost. The PCs' ability to secure a third majority demonstrates their strong voter base and effective campaign strategy.



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