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Bond Yields Are Nearing 5%: What It Means for Your Mortgage and HELOC

  Published September 11, 2026 Something is happening in the bond market this week that matters more to your wallet than the daily swings in the TSX. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note closed in on 5% on Friday — 4.95% , its highest level since 2023 and approaching territory not seen since 2007 — after climbing 18 basis points in a single week. Canadian bond yields have followed the same path: the 10-year Government of Canada bond hit its highest level in over two years earlier this month, and the 5-year bond — the one that actually sets your fixed mortgage rate — has drifted up to roughly 3.41%, about a quarter-point higher than it was a month ago. If you're renewing a mortgage, shopping for a HELOC, or just trying to figure out whether now is the moment to lock in, here's what's actually going on and what it means for your payments. Why bond yields, not the Bank of Canada, are driving fixed rates right now It's a common mix-up: people watch the Bank of Canada...
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Wall Street Stumbles Amid Inflation and Tariff Concerns

                                        

Wall Street faced a sharp downturn as fresh U.S. economic data reignited fears of inflation and tariff impacts. The S&P 500 dropped 1.97%, closing at 5,580.94 points, while the Nasdaq fell 2.70% to 17,322.99 points, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 1.69% to 41,583.90 points.

The latest data revealed weaker-than-expected consumer spending in February, coupled with a significant rise in underlying prices—the highest in 13 months. Additionally, a University of Michigan survey highlighted soaring inflation expectations, reaching their highest levels in over two years.

These developments, combined with escalating tariff measures from the Trump administration, have heightened concerns about the economic outlook. Major tech stocks, including Amazon, Microsoft, and Apple, saw significant losses, reflecting broader market unease.

Market analysts warn that the inflationary effects of tariffs may intensify in the coming months, further complicating the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions. As uncertainty looms, businesses and investors are adopting a cautious stance, bracing for potential economic turbulence.

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