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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Utah Prosecutors Seek Death Penalty in Charlie Kirk Assassination Case

A police mugshot shows Tyler Robinson, the suspect in the fatal shooting of US conservative commentator Charlie Kirk during an event at Utah Valley University, in Orem, Utah.

Utah prosecutors have formally charged 22-year-old Tyler James Robinson with the aggravated murder of conservative activist Charlie Kirk, announcing their intent to seek the death penalty if he is convicted. Kirk, founder of Turning Point USA and a prominent ally of President Donald Trump, was fatally shot last week while speaking to a crowd of about 3,000 at Utah Valley University.

Authorities allege Robinson fired a single rifle shot from a rooftop, striking Kirk in the neck before fleeing the scene. He was captured two days later following a 33-hour manhunt, after relatives and a family friend alerted police to his alleged confession.

In addition to aggravated murder, Robinson faces multiple charges including obstruction of justice and witness tampering, with prosecutors accusing him of ordering his roommate to delete incriminating messages. Utah County Attorney Jeffrey Gray described the killing as “an American tragedy” and emphasized that his decision to pursue capital punishment was based solely on the evidence and nature of the crime.

Robinson remains in custody without bail and is scheduled to make his initial court appearance via video link. The case has sparked nationwide debate over political violence and deepening partisan divisions.


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