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Markets Slip as Investors Bet on Extended U.S.–Iran Ceasefire

  Stocks Edge Lower as Investors Hope U.S.–Iran Ceasefire Will Hold Stocks drifted lower today as markets balanced cautious optimism over a potential extension of the U.S.–Iran ceasefire with persistent geopolitical and inflation concerns. Recent trading sessions have shown that even modest signs of diplomatic progress can meaningfully shift investor sentiment. Asian and U.S. markets rallied earlier this week on hopes that Washington and Tehran would continue negotiations, helping unwind some of the war-driven risk premiums that had pushed oil and volatility higher. Despite the pullback, investors remain hopeful that the ceasefire—currently set to expire soon—will be extended, giving negotiators more time to work toward a longer-term agreement. Reports indicate both sides are considering adding another two weeks to the pause, a move that has already helped push Brent crude below the recent peak of nearly US$120 per barrel. Lower oil prices have eased pressure on inflation expecta...
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Trump Pressures Tehran to Move Quickly on U.S. Ceasefire Proposal

A person stands next to the remnant of an Iranian missile, in Beitin village near Ramallah, in the Israeli-occupied West Bank

U.S. President Donald Trump has urged Iran to act swiftly on a proposed ceasefire plan aimed at ending nearly four weeks of intense conflict across the Middle East. His remarks came after Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi stated that Tehran is reviewing the U.S. proposal but is not engaged in direct negotiations, insisting that current exchanges through intermediaries do not constitute formal dialogue. 

Indirect communication between the two countries is reportedly being facilitated by Pakistan, with additional support from Turkey and Egypt. Despite this, Iranian officials maintain a firm stance, emphasizing continued resistance and rejecting the notion of active talks. 

Trump, however, has publicly claimed that Iranian leaders are eager for a deal, asserting that they are under immense pressure both domestically and militarily. He warned Tehran to “get serious” before conditions worsen, referencing the heavy toll the conflict has taken on Iran’s leadership and infrastructure. 

The broader conflict has triggered severe global repercussions, including unprecedented energy shortages due to disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz—an essential route for global oil and gas shipments. Governments and industries worldwide are grappling with rising costs, supply chain disruptions, and growing humanitarian concerns as the crisis deepens. 

A 15‑point U.S. proposal reportedly includes demands such as dismantling Iran’s nuclear program, curbing missile development, and relinquishing control over the Strait of Hormuz—conditions that Tehran views as unacceptable without significant guarantees and compensation. 

As both sides hold firm to maximalist positions, the path to a ceasefire remains uncertain, even as global pressure mounts for a swift resolution.

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