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Weekly Market Snapshot: Stocks Rally Despite Nvidia Shock and 5% Treasury Yields (Nov 9–13, 2026)
Wall Street had its best week since August, the TSX eked out a gain, and the Canadian dollar took a beating. Here is what moved markets from November 9 to 13, and what it could mean for your mortgage, your savings and your portfolio.
- TSX: up 0.9% to 36,105.90, a smaller gain than the U.S. as gold and base metals sold off.
- Wall Street: S&P 500 up 2.5% and Nasdaq up 2.3%, despite a hot inflation print and Nvidia’s CEO resigning.
- Bonds and the loonie: the U.S. 10-year yield hit about 5.15%, and the Canadian dollar slid to about 70.1¢ US.
- Commodities: oil fell for a second straight week, while gold dropped 4.6% to below US$4,000.
Canada: TSX Edges Higher, Loonie Slides
The S&P/TSX Composite finished Friday at 36,105.90, down 31.29 points on the day but up about 317 points, or 0.9%, from the previous Friday’s 35,789.09. It jumped 1.8% on Monday as AI stocks rebounded, then gave ground as bond yields climbed. Thursday was the roughest session: the index fell about 0.8% as gold slid roughly 3% and mining stocks followed. Friday’s dip came from technology and base metals, while utilities, telecoms and real estate rose and energy stayed firm.
| Canadian index | Friday close | Friday | Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P/TSX Composite | 36,105.90 | −0.09% | +0.9% |
| TSX Venture | 798.46 | −0.5% | −2.9% |
Among individual stocks, Cargojet jumped more than 10% on record revenue, while Aya Gold & Silver fell nearly 7% even after strong quarterly results. The TSX still sits roughly 2.6% below its 52-week high of 37,069.
The Bank of Canada Question
The loonie finished the week at about 70.14¢ US (C$1.4257 per US$1), down roughly 0.9% on the week. It touched C$1.4331 on Thursday, its weakest level in about 19 months, as the gap between U.S. and Canadian yields widened. Canada’s 10-year government bond yield rose about 20 basis points on the week to roughly 3.85%.
Markets now see a 66% chance that the Bank of Canada raises its policy rate again on December 9, up from about 40% at the start of the week. That follows October’s hike to 2.50% and a third straight month of job losses in Canada’s economy. Monday’s October CPI report is the next big test, with economists expecting annual inflation of about 3.2%, up from 3.1% in September.
| Canada indicator | Latest | Change on the week |
|---|---|---|
| Canadian dollar (US cents) | 70.14¢ | −0.9% |
| Canada 10-year yield | ≈3.85% | ≈+20 bps |
| BoC Dec. 9 hike odds | 66% | from ≈40% |
United States: Inflation Scare, Nvidia Shock, Rally Anyway
U.S. stocks climbed all week even though the news flow was ugly. October consumer prices rose 0.4% from September, a tenth above forecasts, and no annual rate was published because of a data gap from last year’s government shutdown. Friday’s producer price report showed wholesale prices up 0.3% on the month and 6.5% over the past year, the fastest pace since late 2022.
Several Federal Reserve officials signalled more tightening, and traders now put the odds of a quarter-point Fed hike on December 9 near 90%, with the rest on a half-point move. The two-year Treasury yield jumped from 4.51% to 4.88%, and the 10-year closed the week around 5.15%.
Then came Nvidia. CEO Jensen Huang resigned on Thursday, effective immediately, with CFO Colette Kress named interim CEO. The stock lost about 13% on the week, wiping out well over US$500 billion in market value. Rivals and AI infrastructure names caught a bid instead: CoreWeave surged about 24% on Wednesday after a strong earnings report. By Friday, tech slid again (the sector fell about 2%) while consumer staples gained 1.4%.
| U.S. index | Friday close | Friday | Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | 7,561.67 | −0.4% | +2.5% |
| Dow Jones Industrial Average | 52,347.55 | +0.1% | +2.1% |
| Nasdaq Composite | 25,136.27 | −0.9% | +2.3% |
| Russell 2000 | 2,790.49 | — | +1.3% |
The S&P 500 is up 10.5% so far in 2026. Its weekly gain was the biggest since August, and the Nasdaq’s was its first in five weeks.
Europe and Asia: Europe Climbs, Hong Kong Struggles
European stocks had their strongest week since late June. The pan-European STOXX 600 gained about 2.4%, and Germany’s DAX rose roughly 3.6% after setting record highs midweek. Friday was quiet: the DAX slipped 0.06% while London’s FTSE 100 rose 0.36%.
| European index | Friday close | Week |
|---|---|---|
| STOXX Europe 600 | 664.14 | +2.4% |
| Germany DAX | 26,756.70 | +3.6% |
| France CAC 40 | 8,368.91 | +2.8% |
| UK FTSE 100 | 10,902.56 | +2.1% |
In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei 225 rebounded about 6.5% after the previous week’s drop of more than 9%, its worst since March 2020. The yen, however, is close to 160 per US dollar, a level that has previously triggered government intervention. Hong Kong went the other way: the Hang Seng fell 1.55% on Friday, its third straight loss, and lost about 844 points on the week as the Hang Seng Tech index sank 3% on AI worries.
| Asian index | Friday close | Friday | Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| Japan Nikkei 225 | 61,142.35 | +0.53% | +6.5% |
| Hong Kong Hang Seng | 23,637.60 | −1.55% | −3.4% |
| Shanghai Composite | 3,634.35 | −0.59% | — |
Oil, Gold, Currencies and Yields
Oil fell for a second straight week as the International Energy Agency projected a fourth-quarter supply surplus, the first since the Middle East conflict began. West Texas Intermediate settled at US$88.56 and Brent at US$95.84, both down about 2.5%. That follows the previous week’s drop of roughly 13% to 16%.
Gold got hit hardest. Rising yields and a stronger U.S. dollar sent December gold futures to about US$3,888, a weekly loss of roughly 4.6%, and silver dropped about 6.3%. The U.S. dollar index gained 1.0% to 103.38, a 19-month high. Bitcoin also slipped below US$70,000 for the first time since August.
| Market | Friday level | Week |
|---|---|---|
| WTI crude (US$/barrel) | 88.56 | −2.5% |
| Brent crude (US$/barrel) | 95.84 | −2.5% |
| Gold, Dec. futures (US$/oz) | ≈3,888 | −4.6% |
| Silver, Dec. futures (US$/oz) | ≈48.65 | −6.3% |
| U.S. dollar index | 103.38 | +1.0% |
| U.S. 10-year yield | ≈5.15% | +29 bps |
| U.S. 2-year yield | ≈4.88% | +37 bps |
| Canada 10-year yield | ≈3.85% | ≈+20 bps |
- Mortgages: Higher government bond yields usually push fixed mortgage rates up, and variable-rate holders could see prime move if the Bank of Canada hikes on December 9. If your renewal is coming, it is worth checking quotes now.
- U.S. spending and travel: At about 70¢ US, every US$100 you spend costs roughly C$143. That adds up on U.S. online orders, Black Friday cross-border shopping and winter trips.
- Your portfolio: This week showed how fast AI-heavy markets can swing, and how a 4.6% gold drop can sting if you hold bullion funds or gold miners in your TFSA or RRSP. A mix of sectors and regions softens that kind of week.
What to Watch: November 16–20
| Date | Event |
|---|---|
| Mon, Nov. 16 | Canada October CPI (8:30 a.m. ET), economists expect about 3.2% annual; Fed Chair Kevin Warsh speaks |
| Tue, Nov. 17 | U.S. retail sales; Home Depot and Disney report; Nvidia earnings after the close, its first since Huang’s exit; Canadian housing starts and existing home sales |
| Wed, Nov. 18 | FOMC minutes (2 p.m. ET); Trump–Xi meeting at APEC (Nov. 18–19); Anthropic IPO expected to price |
| Thu, Nov. 19 | Walmart earnings before the open; Anthropic expected to debut on the Nasdaq |
| Fri, Nov. 20 | Canada retail sales for September (8:30 a.m. ET) |
| Dec. 9 | Bank of Canada and Federal Reserve rate decisions |
Loblaw also reports on the TSX this week, which is worth a look for a read on grocery prices.
Index closes are final figures for Friday, November 13, 2026, with weekly changes measured from the November 6 close. Compiled from AP, Reuters, Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance, Investing.com and TD Economics. Gold and silver are December futures. “bps” means basis points (100 bps = 1 percentage point). This article is for information only and is not financial advice. Consider speaking with a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
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